KGI Singapore Research

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Technical Analysis – 27 June 2025

United States | Singapore | Hong Kong | Earnings

Ambarella Inc. (AMBA US)

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  • Shares closed at a high since February 2025 with more volume. 5dEMA just crossed the 200dEMA and the 20dEMA just crossed the 50dEMA.
  • MACD is positive, RSI is constructive.
  • Long – Entry 64, Target 72, Stop 60
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ASML Holding N.V. (ASML US)

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  • Shares closed at a high since October 2024. 50dEMA is about to cross the 200dEMA.
  • MACD is positive, RSI is constructive.
  • Long – Entry 805, Target 885, Stop 765

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AEM Holdings Ltd. (AEM SP)

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  • Shares closed at a high since February 2025 with a surge in volume. 5dEMA just crossed the 20dEMA and 50dEMA.
  • MACD just turned positive, while RSI is at an overbought level.
  • Buy – Entry 1.40, Target 1.56, Stop 1.32
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Frencken Ltd. (FRKN SP)

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  • Shares closed at a high since December 2024 with a surge in volume. The 20dEMA just crossed the 200dEMA.
  • MACD is about to turn positive, RSI is constructive.
  • Buy – Entry 1.20 Target 1.34, Stop 1.13

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MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282 HK)

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  • Shares closed at an eight-months high above the 5dEMA with rising volume.
  • MACD is positive, while RSI is at an overbought level.
  • Long Entry 12.5 Target 13.5, Stop 12.0




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Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (27 HK)
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  • Shares closed at a six-months high above the 5dEMA with rising volume.
  • RSI is constructive and MACD is positive.
  • Long – Entry 35.4, Target 38.0, Stop 34.1


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General Mills Inc. (GIS)

  • 4Q25 Revenue: $4.56B, -3.2% YoY, miss estimates by $40M
  • 4Q25 Non-GAAP EPS: $0.74, beat estimates by $0.03
  • FY26 Guidance: Expect adjusted EPS down 10% to 15% from FY25’s $4.21, with the entire range below the $3.90 expectation. Organic net sales are seen declining 1% to growing 1%, while analysts expect 0.1% growth.
  • Comment: General Mills issued weaker-than-expected annual profit guidance, citing soft U.S. demand for refrigerated baked goods and snacks amid tariff-driven economic uncertainty. Sales in its North America retail segment fell 10%, offsetting a 12% increase in its pet food division. Its CEO pointed to ongoing volatility from tariffs, global conflicts, and shifting regulations, which continue to drive consumers toward value purchases. Fourth-quarter revenue came in at US$4.56bn, just below expectations, while adjusted earnings per share of US$0.74 slightly exceeded forecasts. The company expects fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS to decline 10% to 15% YoY, with organic net sales projected to range from a 1% decline to 1% growth. Increased marketing and product investment, particularly in its Blue Buffalo pet food line, are expected to weigh on margins in the near term. Despite these headwinds, General Mills is laying the groundwork for long-term resilience through innovation in high-growth categories and a sharper focus on affordability. However, in the near term, margin pressure and a shift in consumer preference toward private-label brands are likely to continue weighing on performance. 1Q26 recommended trading range: $40 to $55. Neutral Outlook.

通用磨坊公司(GIS)

  • 25财年第四季度营收:45.6亿美元,同比下降3.2%,低于预期4,000万美元。
  • 25财年第四季度Non-GAAP每股收益:0.74美元,超出预期0.03美元。
  • 26财年指引:预计调整后每股收益将比25财年的4.21美元下降10%至15%,整个范围低于3.90美元的预期。预计有机净销售将下降1%至增长1%,而分析师预期为0.1%的增长。
  • 短评:通用磨坊发布了低于预期的年度利润指引,原因是美国对冷藏烘焙食品和零食的需求疲软,受关税驱动的经济不确定性影响。其北美零售部门销售下降10%,抵消了宠物食品部门12%的增长。首席执行官指出,关税、全球冲突和法规变化带来的持续波动,促使消费者更加关注性价比。第四季度营收为45.6亿美元,略低于预期,而调整后每股收益为0.74美元,稍微超过预测。公司预计2026财年调整后每股收益将同比下降10%至15%,有机净销售预计在下降1%至增长1%之间。增加的市场营销和产品投资,特别是在其Blue Buffalo宠物食品系列中,预计将在短期内对利润率造成压力。尽管面临这些挑战,通用磨坊正通过创新高增长类别和更专注于可负担性来为长期韧性奠定基础。然而,短期内,利润率压力和消费者向自有品牌转移的趋势可能继续影响业绩。26财年第一季度建议交易区间:40美元至55美元。中性前景。

Micron Technology Inc. (MU)

  • 3Q25 Revenue: $9.3B, +36.6% YoY, beat estimates by $450M
  • 3Q25 Non-GAAP EPS: $1.91, beat estimates by $0.30
  • 4Q25 Guidance: Expect revenue of $10.7B, plus or minus $300M, compared with analysts’ average estimate of $9.88B. The company expects an adjusted gross margin of about 42%, plus or minus 1%, above average analysts’ estimates of an adjusted gross margin of 39.15%.
  • Dividend distribution: Declared $0.115/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous, payable July 22; for shareholders of record July 7.
  • Comment: Micron Technology delivered strong third-quarter results, with revenue of US$9.3bn and adjusted earnings of US$1.91 per share, exceeding analyst expectations. The company forecast even stronger fourth-quarter revenue of US$10.7bn, citing surging demand for its high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips used in AI hardware. Sales of HBM chips rose 50% QoQ, driven by investments from cloud giants like Google in expanding AI infrastructure. As one of only three global providers of HBM, Micron is capitalizing on this momentum by launching a dedicated cloud memory business unit to focus on hyperscaler needs and AI-driven data processing. With AI adoption accelerating across cloud and data center environments, Micron is well-positioned for sustained growth. Its continued investment in HBM technology and focus on high-performance memory solutions for hyperscalers could drive long-term revenue expansion. As demand for AI infrastructure scales, Micron is likely to see increased market share and profitability, particularly as it leverages its strategic position in the high-bandwidth memory market. 4Q25 recommended trading range: $125 to $140. Positive Outlook.

美光科技公司 (MU)

  • 25财年第三季度营收:93亿美元,同比增长36.6%,超出预期4.5亿美元。
  • 25财年第三季度Non-GAAP每股收益:1.91美元,超出预期0.30美元。
  • 25财年第四季度指引:预计营收为107亿美元,误差范围加减3亿美元,分析师平均预期为98.8亿美元。公司预计调整后毛利率约为42%,误差范围加减1%,高于分析师预期的39.15%的调整后毛利率。
  • 股息分配:宣布每股0.115美元的季度股息,与之前持平;将于7月22日支付;股权登记日为7月7日。
  • 短评:美光科技发布了强劲的第三季度业绩,营收为93亿美元,调整后每股收益为1.91美元,超过了分析师的预期。公司预测第四季度营收将更强劲,达到107亿美元,原因是用于人工智能硬件的高带宽内存(HBM)芯片需求激增。HBM芯片的销售环比增长50%,受谷歌等云计算巨头在拓展人工智能基础设施方面的投资推动。作为全球仅有的三家HBM供应商之一,美光正在利用这一势头,推出专门的云内存业务部门,专注于超大规模需求和基于人工智能的数据处理。随着人工智能在云端和数据中心环境中的加速采用,美光在持续增长方面处于良好位置。其在HBM技术上的持续投资以及对超大规模客户高性能内存解决方案的关注,可能推动长期营收增长。随着对人工智能基础设施的需求扩大,美光的市场份额和盈利能力可能会增加,特别是利用其在高带宽内存市场的战略地位。25财年第四季度建议交易区间:125美元至140美元。积极前景。