KGI Research Singapore

Singapore's leading broker offering Futures, FX, Equities and Wealth Management.

Technical Analysis – 24 April 2025

United States | Singapore | Hong Kong | Earnings

Duolingo Inc (DUOL US)

  • Shares closed at a one-month high above the 5dEMA with rising volume.
  • Both RSI and MACD are constructive.
  • Long – Entry 366, Target 398, Stop 350
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Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR US)

  • Shares closed at a one-month high above the 5dEMA with rising volume.
  • MACD is positive, RSI is constructive.
  • Long – Entry 99.4, Target 107.4, Stop 95.4

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Singapore Airlines Ltd (SIA SP)

  • Shares closed above the 50dEMA with rising volume. The 5dEMA crossed the 20dEMA.
  • MACD is positive, RSI is constructive.
  • Buy – Entry 6.54, Target 6.90, Stop 6.36
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Comfort Delgro Ltd. (CD SP)

  • Shares closed at a 6-month high above the 5dEMA with a jump in volume.
  • Both RSI and MACD are constructive.
  • Buy – Entry 1.50 Target 1.58, Stop 1.46

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New China Life Insurance Company Ltd (1336 HK)

  • Shares closed above the 5dEMA with rising volume.
  • RSI is constructive and MACD turned positive.
  • Long Entry 29.0, Target 31.2, Stop 27.9




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Manulife Financial Corp (945 HK)

  • Shares closed above the 50dEMA. The 5dEMA crossed the 200dEMA.
  • RSI is constructive and MACD is positive.
  • Long – Entry 227, Target 245, Stop 218


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Boeing Co (BA)

  • 1Q25 Revenue: $19.5B, +17.7% YoY, miss estimates by $290M
  • 1Q25 Non-GAAP EPS: –$0.49, beat estimates by $0.81
  • FY25 Guidance: Reaffirmed production of its 737 MAX will hit 38 per month in 2025, while output of the 787 Dreamliner will climb to seven per month from five per month.
  • Comment: Boeing reported a smaller-than-expected Q1 loss and stronger jet output. Despite the impact of the U.S. China trade war, leading to the return of two aircraft meant for Chinese carriers, its CEO said Boeing has managed to avoid wider damage and can redirect aircraft to other interested airlines. While China accounts for 10% of Boeing’s commercial backlog, deliveries there remain uncertain. Nonetheless, Boeing is increasing production of its 737 MAX jets, targeting 38 per month by year-end. Free cash flow usage improved to -US$2.3bn, better than analyst forecasts, and the company expects positive cash flow in 2H25. Boeing’s defense division returned to profitability, and the sale of its Digital Aviation Solutions business for US$10.55bn marks progress in its debt reduction efforts. As Boeing navigates geopolitical headwinds and internal recovery efforts, the company remains focused on stabilizing and ramping up production of its 737 MAX aircraft and improving cash flow. 2Q25 recommended trading range: $160 to $180. Neutral Outlook.

波音公司 (BA)

  • 25财年第一季度营收:195亿美元,同比增长17.7%,低于预期2.9亿美元
  • 25财年第一季度Non-GAAP每股亏损:0.49美元,超出预期0.81美元
  • 25财年指引:重申其737 MAX的产量将在2025年达到每月38架,而787梦想飞机的产量将从每月5架增加到每月7架。
  • 简评:波音公司第一季度亏损小于预期,飞机产量强劲。尽管美国与中国的贸易战导致两架原定交付给中国航空公司的飞机被退回,但其首席执行官表示,波音公司已设法避免了更广泛的损害,并可以将飞机重新定向给其他感兴趣的航空公司。虽然中国占波音公司商业积压订单的10%,但那里的交付仍然不确定。尽管如此,波音公司正在提高其737 MAX飞机的产量,目标是到年底达到每月38架。自由现金流使用量改善至-23亿美元,好于分析师的预测,该公司预计2025年下半年将实现正现金流。波音公司的国防部门恢复盈利,以105.5亿美元出售其数字航空解决方案业务标志着其在减债方面取得了进展。在波音公司应对地缘政治逆风和内部复苏努力之际,该公司仍然专注于稳定和提高其737 MAX飞机的生产并改善现金流。25财年第二季度建议交易区间:160美元至180美元。中性前景。

Philip Morris International Inc (PM)

  • 1Q25 Revenue: $9.3B, +5.7% YoY, beat estimates by $160M
  • 1Q25 Non-GAAP EPS: $1.69, beat estimates by $0.08
  • FY25 Guidance: Raised adjusted annual profit to the range of $7.36 to $7.49 per share, compared with its prior forecast between $7.04 and $7.17, and expects 12-14% growth in smoke-free products.
  • Comment: Philip Morris International delivered strong first quarter results reporting adjusted earnings per share of US$1.69, beating estimates of US$1.77, and 5.7% revenue growth to US$9.3bn. The company raised its full-year profit forecast following its strong first quarter, driven by robust performance of smoke-free products like nicotine pouch ZYN and the IQOS heated tobacco device. ZYN shipments in the U.S. surged 53% YoY, recovering swiftly from past supply issues, while IQOS saw solid demand in Europe and Japan, with a recent U.S. launch in Texas. Its CEO noted minimal impact from U.S. tariffs and confirmed flexibility in supply chain management. Looking ahead, Philip Morris is well-positioned to continue its transformation toward a smoke-free future, targeting 50% of net revenues from smoke-free products by year-end 2025. Continued investment in next-gen nicotine alternatives, particularly ZYN and IQOS, alongside resilient pricing in traditional products, supports a favorable growth trajectory. With strong momentum and minimal exposure to tariff risks, the company remains well positioned to deliver sustained earnings growth and further product innovation globally. 2Q25 recommended trading range: $160 to $180. Positive Outlook.

菲利普莫里斯国际公司 (PM)

  • 25财年第一季度营收:93亿美元,同比增长5.7%,超出预期1.6亿美元
  • 25财年第一季度Non-GAAP每股收益:1.69美元,超出预期0.08美元
  • 25财年指引:上调调整后全年利润预期至每股7.36美元至7.49美元,高于此前预测的7.04美元至7.17美元,并预计无烟产品增长12-14%。
  • 简评:菲利普莫里斯国际公司公布了强劲的第一季度业绩,调整后每股收益为1.69美元,高于预期的1.77美元,营收增长5.7%至93亿美元。在第一季度表现强劲的推动下,该公司上调了全年利润预期,这主要得益于尼古丁袋ZYN和IQOS加热烟草设备等无烟产品的强劲表现。美国ZYN的出货量同比增长53%,迅速从过去的供应问题中恢复,而IQOS在欧洲和日本的需求强劲,最近还在德克萨斯州推出。其首席执行官指出,美国关税的影响微乎其微,并确认了供应链管理的灵活性。展望未来,菲利普莫里斯有望继续向无烟未来转型,目标是到2025年底无烟产品占净营收的50%。对下一代尼古丁替代品(尤其是ZYN和IQOS)的持续投资,以及传统产品的稳健定价,都支持了有利的增长轨迹。凭借强劲的增长势头和极低的关税风险敞口,该公司仍处于有利地位,能够实现持续的盈利增长并在全球范围内进一步推动产品创新。25财年第二季度建议交易区间:160美元至180美元。积极前景。

International Business Machines Corp (IBM)

  • 1Q25 Revenue: $14.54B, +0.6% YoY, beat estimates by $150M
  • 1Q25 Non-GAAP EPS: $1.60, beat estimates by $0.17
  • 2Q25 Guidance: Expect $16.4B to $16.75B in second-quarter revenue, the middle of the range, $16.58 billion, is ahead of the consensus of $16.33B
  • FY25 Guidance: Reaffirmed its expectation for $13.5B in free cash flow and at least 5% revenue growth at constant currency. At current exchange rates, currency will provide 150 basis points of benefit for 2025 growth, down from the company’s forecast of 200 basis points in January.
  • Comment: IBM reported stronger-than-expected Q1 earnings, with revenue rising 0.6% to US$14.5bn and adjusted EPS of US$1.60, above the consensus. High margin software growth and a growing AI business, now at over US$6bn in total bookings and sales, supported performance. However, investor sentiment soured after IBM disclosed that 15 government contracts, worth about US$100mn, were cancelled due to federal cost-cutting efforts under the Trump administration. Although this represented less than 1% of consulting backlog, it raised concerns amid broader economic uncertainty. IBM provided second quarter guidance, projecting revenue of US$16.40bn to US$16.75bn, topping expectations. IBM remains committed to achieving at least 5% revenue growth in 2025 on a constant currency basis, driven by continued momentum in AI, cloud, and software segments. While macroeconomic challenges and government budget tightening pose near-term headwinds, the company’s growing AI book of business and limited exposure to tariff impacts position it well to navigate uncertainty and capitalize on long-term digital transformation trends. 2Q25 recommended trading range: $225 to $250. Neutral Outlook.

国际商业机器公司 (IBM)

  • 25财年第一季度营收:145.4亿美元,同比增长0.6%,超出预期1.5亿美元
  • 25财年第一季度Non-GAAP每股收益:1.60美元,超出预期0.17美元
  • 25财年第二季度指引:预计第二季度营收为164亿至167.5亿美元,中值165.8亿美元,高于普遍预期的163.3亿美元。
  • 25财年指引:重申其自由现金流为135亿美元以及按固定汇率计算至少5%的营收增长预期。按当前汇率计算,货币兑换将在2025年的增长中贡献150个基点,低于该公司1月份预测的200个基点。
  • 简评:IBM公布了强于预期的第一季度业绩,营收增长0.6%至145亿美元,调整后每股收益为1.60美元,高于普遍预期。高利润率的软件业务增长以及不断增长的人工智能业务(目前总预订和销售额超过60亿美元)支撑了业绩。然而,在IBM披露由于特朗普政府削减联邦开支的努力,导致价值约1亿美元的15份政府合同被取消后,投资者情绪恶化。尽管这仅占咨询积压的不到1%,但在更广泛的经济不确定性背景下,这引发了担忧。IBM发布了第二季度指引,预计营收为164亿至167.5亿美元,高于预期。IBM仍然致力于在2025年实现按固定汇率计算至少5%的营收增长,这得益于人工智能、云计算和软件领域的持续增长势头。虽然宏观经济挑战和政府预算紧缩带来短期不利因素,但该公司不断增长的人工智能业务以及有限的关税影响使其能够很好地应对不确定性并抓住长期数字转型趋势。25财年第二季度建议交易区间:225美元至250美元。中性前景。

Texas Instruments Inc (TXN)

  • 1Q25 Revenue: $4.07B, +11.2% YoY, beat estimates by $160M
  • 1Q25 GAAP EPS: $1.28, beat estimates by $0.22
  • 2Q25 Guidance: Expect revenue in the range of $4.17B to $4.53B, with the midpoint of $4.35B above the analyst consensus of $4.12B. Q2 EPS is projected between $1.21 and $1.47, also above the $1.20 consensus estimate.
  • Comment: Texas Instruments posted a strong first-quarter performance with revenue rising 11.2% to US$4.07bn and earnings of US$1.28 per share, beating analyst estimates. The company also issued its second-quarter profit forecast of US$1.21 to US$1.47 per share, exceeding the US$1.20 consensus, signaling confidence in its ongoing growth. As the global leader in analog chips, Texas Instruments is investing heavily in expanding its Texas factory network and adopting more advanced manufacturing processes to reduce long-term costs and maintain competitiveness. These strategic moves, though weighing on short-term margins, aim to counter the growing threat from Chinese rivals who are rapidly scaling their analog chip production due to export restrictions on high-end processors. Despite rising competition, Texas Instruments remains well-positioned with operational strength, innovation, and scale to defend its market leadership and drive sustainable growth. While short-term pressures from increased capital expenditures and global competition may persist, Texas Instruments remains focused on long-term growth by advancing its manufacturing capabilities, expanding its domestic production footprint, and strengthening its position in the analog semiconductor market. As global demand for embedded and analog solutions continues to rise across industrial and automotive sectors, we anticipate the company’s strategic investments to drive greater operational efficiency, enhance competitiveness, and support sustained profitability. 2Q25 recommended trading range: $150 to $170. Neutral Outlook.

德州仪器公司 (TXN)

  • 25财年第一季度营收:40.7亿美元,同比增长11.2%,超出预期1.6亿美元
  • 25财年第一季度 GAAP每股收益:1.28美元,超出预期0.22美元
  • 25财年第二季度指引:预计营收在41.7亿至45.3亿美元之间,中值为43.5亿美元,高于分析师普遍预期的41.2亿美元。第二季度每股收益预计在1.21美元至1.47美元之间,也高于普遍预期的1.20美元。
  • 简评:德州仪器公布了强劲的第一季度业绩,营收增长11.2%至40.7亿美元,每股收益为1.28美元,均超出分析师预期。该公司还发布了第二季度利润预期,每股收益为1.21美元至1.47美元,高于普遍预期的1.20美元,这表明其对持续增长充满信心。作为模拟芯片的全球领导者,德州仪器正在大力投资扩大其德克萨斯州的工厂网络,并采用更先进的制造工艺以降低长期成本并保持竞争力。尽管这些战略举措短期内会影响利润率,但旨在应对来自中国竞争对手日益增长的威胁,这些竞争对手正因高端处理器出口限制而迅速扩大其模拟芯片产量。尽管竞争加剧,但凭借其运营实力、创新能力和规模,德州仪器仍处于有利地位,能够捍卫其市场领导地位并推动可持续增长。虽然增加的资本支出和全球竞争可能带来短期压力,但德州仪器仍专注于长期增长,通过提升其制造能力、扩大其国内生产规模并加强其在模拟半导体市场的地位。随着工业和汽车领域对嵌入式和模拟解决方案的全球需求持续增长,我们预计该公司的战略投资将提高运营效率,增强竞争力并支持持续盈利能力。25财年第二季度建议交易区间:150美元至170美元。中性前景。

Lam Research Corp (LRCX)

  • 3Q25 Revenue: $4.72B, +24.5% YoY, beat estimates by $80M
  • 3Q25 Non-GAAP EPS: $1.04, beat estimates by $0.04
  • 4Q25 Guidance: Expect revenue of $5B, plus or minus $300M, compared with analysts’ estimate of $4.59B.
  • Comment: Lam Research exceeded Wall Street expectations in Q3, reporting revenue of US$4.72bn and an adjusted EPS of US$1.04, both surpassing analyst forecasts. Growth was driven by strong demand for advanced AI chips, with significant shipments to Taiwan and robust performance in China despite U.S. export restrictions. Systems revenue, including sales of advanced wafer fabrication tools, reached US$3.04bn. Its CEO affirmed confidence in the company’s outlook, even amid tariff-related challenges. The company projects Q4 revenue of US$5bn, ±US$300mn and maintains a long-term target of US$25bn – US$28bn in revenue by 2028. As the AI and data center boom drives advanced chip production, Lam’s cutting-edge wafer fabrication tools position it as a key enabler of next-gen semiconductor manufacturing. Despite geopolitical and trade uncertainties, Lam Research is poised for continued growth, fuelled by rising global demand for AI-driven semiconductor technologies and increased capital spending by leading chipmakers. 4Q25 recommended trading range: $65 to $75. Neutral Outlook.

拉姆研究 (LRCX)

  • 25财年第三季度营收:47.2亿美元,同比增长24.5%,超出预期8000万美元
  • 25财年第三季度Non-GAAP每股收益:1.04美元,超出预期0.04美元
  • 25财年第四季度指引:预计营收为50亿美元,上下浮动3亿美元,而分析师的预期为45.9亿美元。
  • 简评:拉姆研究第三季度营收47.2亿美元,调整后每股收益1.04美元,均超过分析师预期,超出华尔街预期。对先进人工智能芯片的强劲需求推动了增长,尽管美国限制出口,但对台湾的大量出口和中国大陆的强劲表现推动了增长。包括先进晶圆制造工具在内的系统收入达到30.4亿美元。该公司首席执行官重申了对公司前景的信心,即使面临与关税相关的挑战。该公司预计第四季度收入为50亿美元(±3亿美元),并保持到2028年收入250亿至280亿美元的长期目标。随着人工智能和数据中心热潮推动先进芯片生产,公司的尖端晶圆制造工具将其定位为下一代半导体制造的关键推动者。尽管地缘政治和贸易存在不确定性,但在全球对人工智能驱动的半导体技术需求不断上升以及领先芯片制造商增加资本支出的推动下,拉姆研究仍有望实现持续增长。25财年第四季度建议交易区间:65美元至75美元。中性前景。

Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS)

  • 1Q25 Revenue: $2.86B, -3.4% YoY, miss estimates by $30M
  • 1Q25 Non-GAAP EPS: $0.59, beat estimates by $0.02
  • FY25 Guidance: No guidance provided
  • Share buyback: Board of directors increased stock repurchase authorisation to $2B from remaining $1.1B under a previous plan.
  • Comment: Las Vegas Sands beat analyst expectations for Q1 profit, reporting an adjusted EPS of US$0.59 versus the expected US$0.57. While total revenue came in slightly below estimates at US$2.86bn, strong performance in Singapore helped offset a revenue decline in Macao, which fell to US$1.71bn from US$1.81bn a year ago. Singapore operations, driven by Marina Bay Sands, posted a modest YoY increase to US$1.16bn. Its CEO emphasized the company’s focus on premium offerings and service enhancements, positioning it well for future growth as Asia’s travel and tourism market expands. The company also announced that it is no longer contesting to develop a New York casino. Las Vegas Sands is strategically focused on leveraging its premium product and service enhancements, particularly in Singapore, to capture growth as tourism rebounds across Asia. While near-term challenges in Macao persist, the company remains optimistic about long-term demand and is committed to refining its integrated resort offerings to drive sustained revenue. 2Q25 recommended trading range: $32 to $38. Neutral Outlook.

金沙集团 (LVS)

  • 25财年第一季度营收:28.6亿美元,同比下降3.4%,低于预期3,000万美元
  • 25财年第一季度Non-GAAP每股收益:0.59美元,超出预期0.02美元
  • 25财年指引:未提供指引。
  • 股票回购:董事会将股票回购授权从之前计划的11亿美元增加到20亿美元。
  • 简评:金沙集团第一季度利润超出分析师预期,调整后每股收益为0.59美元,高于预期的0.57美元。虽然总营收为28.6亿美元,略低于预期,但新加坡的强劲表现帮助抵消了澳门营收的下滑,澳门营收从去年同期的18.1亿美元降至17.1亿美元。在滨海湾金沙的推动下,新加坡业务实现小幅同比增长,达到11.6亿美元。其首席执行官强调,公司专注于高端产品和服务提升,这使其在亚洲旅游市场扩张之际,能够更好地把握未来增长机遇。公司还宣布不再竞标开发纽约赌场。拉斯维加斯金沙集团的战略重点是利用其高端产品和服务提升,尤其是在新加坡,以在亚洲旅游业复苏之际抓住增长机遇。尽管澳门近期仍面临挑战,但公司对长期需求保持乐观,并致力于优化其综合度假村产品以推动持续营收。25财年第二季度建议交易区间:32美元至38美元。积极前景。