{"id":65828,"date":"2025-04-20T17:02:53","date_gmt":"2025-04-20T09:02:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/?p=65828"},"modified":"2025-04-20T17:02:54","modified_gmt":"2025-04-20T09:02:54","slug":"kgi-daily-trading-ideas-21-apr-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/kgi-daily-trading-ideas-21-apr-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Ideas 21 April 2025 : Geo Energy Resources Ltd (GERL SP), American Water Works Co Inc (AWK US)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-cyan-bluish-gray-background-color has-background wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"#sp\">Sector Performance<\/a> |<a href=\"#hk\"> Hong Kong Trading Ideas<\/a> |<a href=\"#us\">United States Trading Ideas<\/a> | <a href=\"#sg\">Singapore Trading Ideas<\/a>|<a href=\"#td\"> Trading Dashboard<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\" id=\"sp\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1052\" height=\"130\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/word-image.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-49353\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/word-image.png 1052w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/word-image-300x37.png 300w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/word-image-1024x127.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/word-image-768x95.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1052px) 100vw, 1052px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a id=\"post-65828-_fginbsn8cd1z\"><\/a><strong>United States<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a id=\"post-65828-_tiry8p5xvcqk\"><\/a><figure><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1376\" height=\"571\" class=\"wp-image-65831\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-1.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-1.png 1376w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-1-300x124.png 300w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-1-1024x425.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-1-768x319.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1376px) 100vw, 1376px\" \/><\/figure><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1071\" height=\"274\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-65832\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-2.png 1071w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-2-300x77.png 300w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-2-1024x262.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-2-768x196.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1071px) 100vw, 1071px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"915\" height=\"282\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-3.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-65833\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-3.png 915w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-3-300x92.png 300w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-3-768x237.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 915px) 100vw, 915px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a id=\"post-65828-_ylayyh7qqd99\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"#top\" title=\"\">^ Back To Top<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"637\" height=\"135\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-4.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-65834\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-4.png 637w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-4-300x64.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 637px) 100vw, 637px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"sg\"><a id=\"post-65828-_7c2gwybbbr90\"><\/a><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"637\" height=\"135\" class=\"wp-image-65835\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-5.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-5.png 637w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-5-300x64.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 637px) 100vw, 637px\" \/><\/figure><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00a0<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Geo Energy Resources Ltd (GERL SP): Resilient performance amid coal market volatility<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>BUY Entry \u2013 0.330 Target\u2013 0.360 Stop Loss \u2013 0.315<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Geo Energy Resources Limited is an integrated coal mining specialist. The Company owns and operates coal mines, offers mine contracting services to third party mine owners, and sells coal to both coal traders and coal export companies.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Infrastructure expansion and cost efficiency. <\/strong>Geo Energy\u2019s US$150mn investment in the MBJ Integrated Infrastructure Project is on track for completion by 1H26. The project includes a 92km hauling road and jetty, which will reduce transportation costs by over US$10 per tonne and double production capacity to 25Mt per year. Additionally, thirdparty leasing of the infrastructure is expected to create additional revenue streams, enhancing long-term cash flow and profitability.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Strategic growth via acquisitions and investments. <\/strong>The acquisition of PT Golden Eagle Energy expands Geo Energy\u2019s reserves and production capacity, securing longterm supply. A US$30mn investment from ResInvest increased its stake to 6.8%, while a US$50mn-US$100mn investment in MBJ infrastructure is expected to further support the company\u2019s long-term expansion plans.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Favourable market outlook.<\/strong> Global coal demand is projected to reach 8.9 billion tonnes by 2027, with China\u2019s record coal imports of 542.7Mt in 2024, a 14.4% YoY increase, sustaining market stability. Although prices have moderated, thermal coal remains above 2019 levels, ensuring profitability for producers like Geo Energy.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>FY24 results review.<\/strong>\u00a0Geo Energy reported FY24 revenue of US$401.9mn, a slight decline from FY23 due to lower ICI4 coal prices. Net profit fell to US$37.3mn, but cost efficiencies enabled the company to maintain a strong cash profit per tonne of US$10.37. FY24 total dividends amount to 1.0 S-cent per share.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>We have fundamental coverage with a BUY recommendation and a TP of S$0.71. Please read the full report <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/company-update-geo-energy-resources-ltd-gerl-sp-re4-si-4\/\">here<\/a>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Market consensus<\/strong> <figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"497\" height=\"106\" class=\"wp-image-65836\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-blue-and-white-rectangular-object-with-white-tex-6.png\" alt=\"A blue and white rectangular object with white text\n\nAI-generated content may be incorrect.\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-blue-and-white-rectangular-object-with-white-tex-6.png 497w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-blue-and-white-rectangular-object-with-white-tex-6-300x64.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 497px) 100vw, 497px\" \/><\/figure><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1095\" height=\"575\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-of-a-stock-market-ai-generated-content-ma-4.jpeg\" alt=\"A graph of a stock market\n\nAI-generated content may be incorrect.\" class=\"wp-image-65837\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-of-a-stock-market-ai-generated-content-ma-4.jpeg 1095w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-of-a-stock-market-ai-generated-content-ma-4-300x158.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-of-a-stock-market-ai-generated-content-ma-4-1024x538.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-of-a-stock-market-ai-generated-content-ma-4-768x403.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1095px) 100vw, 1095px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">(Source: Bloomberg)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"637\" height=\"135\" class=\"wp-image-65838\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-long-line-of-a-white-background-description-aut-14.png\" alt=\"A long line of a white background\n\nDescription automatically generated with medium confidence\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-long-line-of-a-white-background-description-aut-14.png 637w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-long-line-of-a-white-background-description-aut-14-300x64.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 637px) 100vw, 637px\" \/><\/figure> Sembcorp Industries Ltd (SCI SP): Risk off and rate cut expectations<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>RE-ITERATE BUY Entry \u2013 6.00 Target\u2013 6.52 Stop Loss \u2013 5.74<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sembcorp Industries Ltd provides utilities and integrated services for industrial sites such as power, gas, steam, water, wastewater treatment and other on-site services. Sembcorp Industries serves industrial parks, business, commercial, and residential spaces.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Rotation to defensive sectors and rising rate cut expectations. <\/strong>Escalating global trade tensions, driven by the broad tariff policies of the US, will gradually reshape global supply chains. World economic growth, especially in Asia, is expected to slow down substantially in the near term. Amidst macro headwinds, the utility sector is expected to outperform others. Meanwhile, expectations of rate cut are reviving. Lower interest rates would benefit Sembcorp by reducing financing costs, enhancing project viability, and potentially boosting demand for its energy and urban solutions. In a nutshell, investors favour assets with stability and visibility moving forward.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Proposed acquisition. <\/strong>Sembcorp Industries plans to increase its stake in Senoko Energy from 30% to a maximum of 70%, expanding its role in Singapore\u2019s energy sector. The acquisition agreement, signed with KPIC Netherlands, Kyuden International, and Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC), involves purchasing up to a 57.1% stake in Lion Power, which owns 70% of Senoko. The deal, valued at up to S$144mn, will be funded through internal cash and\/or external borrowings and is expected to close in 2Q25. The Energy Market Authority has approved the acquisition, with Sembcorp committing to measures that ensure fair market competition. The acquisition is projected to be earnings accretive but will not significantly impact net tangible assets per share for FY25. This strategic move strengthens Sembcorp\u2019s position in Singapore\u2019s energy market and supports its commitment to the energy transition. With a larger stake in Senoko, Sembcorp can enhance operational synergies and contribute more effectively to sustainable and reliable energy solutions, aligning with its long-term growth strategy.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Increased dividend payout. <\/strong>Sembcorp raised its dividend to S$0.23 per share, from its previous S$0.13 in FY23, reflecting a higher payout ratio, signaling confidence in sustained profitability. The company\u2019s net profit before exceptional items remained above S$1bn for a second consecutive year. Sembcorp\u2019s gas and related services segment saw a 10% decline in profit to S$727mn, impacted by a 34% drop in Singapore\u2019s wholesale electricity prices. However, the company solidified its position as the leading power provider for data centers and acquired a 30% stake in Senoko Energy. Additionally, it fully exited coal-fired power assets with the divestment of its 49% stake in Chongqing Songzao. Sembcorp\u2019s renewable energy portfolio grew to 13.1 GW in 2024, progressing toward its 2028 goal of 25 GW. The company remains focused on executing its 2024-2028 strategic plan to meet Asia\u2019s evolving energy needs. With a stronger commitment to dividends and an expanding clean energy portfolio, the company is poised to capitalize on Asia\u2019s transition to sustainable energy while maintaining financial stability.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>FY24 financial results. <\/strong>Sembcorp Industries Ltd reported net profit of S$1,011mn for FY24, a 7% incline YoY, compared to S$942mn in FY23. Due to the Group\u2019s strong performance, the Board of Directors approved a total dividend of S$0.23 per ordinary share for FY24, an increase from the S$0.13 distributed for FY23.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Market consensus<\/strong> <figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"497\" height=\"106\" class=\"wp-image-65839\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-blue-and-white-rectangular-box-with-white-text-24.png\" alt=\"A blue and white rectangular box with white text\n\nAI-generated content may be incorrect.\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-blue-and-white-rectangular-box-with-white-text-24.png 497w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-blue-and-white-rectangular-box-with-white-text-24-300x64.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 497px) 100vw, 497px\" \/><\/figure><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1136\" height=\"575\" class=\"wp-image-65840\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-showing-a-line-of-stock-ai-generated-cont-12.jpeg\" alt=\"A graph showing a line of stock\n\nAI-generated content may be incorrect.\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-showing-a-line-of-stock-ai-generated-cont-12.jpeg 1136w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-showing-a-line-of-stock-ai-generated-cont-12-300x152.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-showing-a-line-of-stock-ai-generated-cont-12-1024x518.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-showing-a-line-of-stock-ai-generated-cont-12-768x389.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1136px) 100vw, 1136px\" \/><\/figure><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">(Source: Bloomberg)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"637\" height=\"135\" class=\"wp-image-65841\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-11.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-11.png 637w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-11-300x64.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 637px) 100vw, 637px\" \/><\/figure><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\" id=\"us\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"602\" height=\"75\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-12.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-65842\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-12.png 602w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-12-300x37.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 602px) 100vw, 602px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>American Water Works Co Inc (AWK US): Strengthening portfolio defences<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>BUY Entry \u2013 145 Target \u2013 155 Stop Loss \u2013 140<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>American Water Works Co., Inc. provides drinking water, wastewater, and other water-related services in multiple states and Ontario, Canada. The Company\u2019s primary business involves the ownership of regulated water and wastewater utilities that provide water and wastewater services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resilient utility stock in a defensive sector. <\/strong>Amidst escalating trade tensions and an increasingly uncertain macroeconomic outlook, American Water Works stands out as a defensive and stable investment choice due to its business model of providing essential clean water and wastewater treatment services. With its operations and revenue entirely derived from the U.S. domestic market, the company largely avoids global supply chain disruptions and tariff impacts, positioning it as a safe haven during market volatility.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Defensive advantages of essential public services. <\/strong>The company demonstrates its resilience by relying on a regulated utility model to achieve stable cash flow and consistently growing dividends. In fiscal year 2024, its dividend grew by 8.6% year-over-year, and its current dividend yield is 2.06%. The company has set long-term annual earnings per share growth target of 7%-9%, highlighting its shareholder-focused strategy. The company also plans to invest $170 billion to $180 billion in capital expenditures between 2025 and 2029, with a total investment of $400 billion to $420 billion by 2034, dedicated to enhancing infrastructure efficiency, expanding customer reach, and driving the acquisition pipeline. As a utility company focused on the U.S. market, AWK offers low volatility, stable returns, and long-term capital appreciation potential, making it highly attractive in uncertain times.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>4Q24 results. <\/strong>Revenue increased by 16.5% YoY to US$1.20bn, exceeding expectations by US$90mn. GAAP earnings per share were US$1.22, beating expectations by US$0.10. The company distributed a dividend of US$0.765\/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Market consensus<\/strong> <figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"497\" height=\"106\" class=\"wp-image-65843\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-13.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-13.png 497w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-13-300x64.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 497px) 100vw, 497px\" \/><\/figure><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1193\" height=\"575\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-14.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-65844\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-14.jpeg 1193w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-14-300x145.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-14-1024x494.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-14-768x370.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1193px) 100vw, 1193px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">(Source: Bloomberg)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"940\" height=\"200\" class=\"wp-image-65845\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-long-line-of-a-flag-description-automatically-g-14.png\" alt=\"A long line of a flag\n\nDescription automatically generated with medium confidence\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-long-line-of-a-flag-description-automatically-g-14.png 940w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-long-line-of-a-flag-description-automatically-g-14-300x64.png 300w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-long-line-of-a-flag-description-automatically-g-14-768x163.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 940px) 100vw, 940px\" \/><\/figure><strong>Costco Wholesale Corp (COST US): Steady growth amid tariff headwinds<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>RE-ITERATE BUY Entry \u2013 950 Target \u2013 1050 Stop Loss \u2013 900<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Costco Wholesale Corporation is a membership warehouse club The Company sells all kinds of food, automotive supplies, toys, hardware, sporting goods, jewelry, electronics, apparel, health, and beauty aids, as well as other goods. Costco Wholesale serves customers worldwide.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Tariff implementation drives short-term demand for essential goods. <\/strong>As of April 10, the U.S. has imposed a 10% tariff on global imports and a 145% tariff on goods imported from China. In 2024, the total value of U.S. imports from China amounted to US$438.9 billion, with the majority being essential daily goods. Following the announcement of the tariff policy, panic buying emerged in the U.S., leading to a sharp increase in short-term demand for essential consumer products.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Sales maintained steady growth in March. <\/strong>For the retail month of March, comparable sales rose by 6.4% YoY, with the U.S. market growing 7.5%, Canada increasing by 4.1%, and other international markets up by 2.9%. E-commerce comparable sales surged by 16.2% during the quarter. Excluding the impacts of currency and fuel prices, total comparable sales grew by 9.1% YoY, with the U.S. still showing strong growth of 8.7%. For the five-week period ending April 6, total net sales rose 8.6% to US$25.51 billion.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Combining both defensive and growth attributes. <\/strong>Unlike traditional supermarkets that rely on low margins and high volume, Costco maintains ultra-low wholesale pricing and derives most of its profits from membership fees. Membership growth and fee increases are long-term growth drivers. As of December 2024, the number of paid household memberships reached 77.4 million, up around 8% YoY, with total cardholders reaching 138.8 million. The global membership renewal rate was 90.4%. Starting September 1, 2024, membership fees in the U.S. and Canada increased, basic membership rose from US$60 to US$65, and executive membership from US$120 to US$130. In South Korea, membership fees will increase by 7.5% to 15.2% in May 2025. The company currently operates 897 warehouses across 13 countries and plans to open 29 new locations in 2025, with 12 of them outside the U.S.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>2Q25 results. <\/strong>Revenue increased by 9.0% YoY to US$63.72bn, exceeding expectations by US$640mn. GAAP earnings per share were US$4.02, missing expectations by US$0.09.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Market consensus<\/strong> <figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"497\" height=\"106\" class=\"wp-image-65846\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-blue-and-white-rectangular-object-with-numbers-14.png\" alt=\"A blue and white rectangular object with numbers\n\nAI-generated content may be incorrect.\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-blue-and-white-rectangular-object-with-numbers-14.png 497w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-blue-and-white-rectangular-object-with-numbers-14-300x64.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 497px) 100vw, 497px\" \/><\/figure><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1079\" height=\"575\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-showing-a-stock-market-ai-generated-conte-13.jpeg\" alt=\"A graph showing a stock market\n\nAI-generated content may be incorrect.\" class=\"wp-image-65847\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-showing-a-stock-market-ai-generated-conte-13.jpeg 1079w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-showing-a-stock-market-ai-generated-conte-13-300x160.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-showing-a-stock-market-ai-generated-conte-13-1024x546.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/a-graph-showing-a-stock-market-ai-generated-conte-13-768x409.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1079px) 100vw, 1079px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">(Source: Bloomberg)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"#top\" title=\"\">^ Back To Top<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a id=\"post-65828-_va9jaog5jnw3\"><\/a><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"637\" height=\"135\" class=\"wp-image-65848\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-18.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-18.png 637w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-18-300x64.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 637px) 100vw, 637px\" \/><\/figure><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\" id=\"td\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"637\" height=\"135\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-19.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-65849\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-19.png 637w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-19-300x64.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 637px) 100vw, 637px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Trading Dashboard Update: <\/strong>Take profit on Centurion Corp (CENT SP) at S$1.20 and Weilong Delicious Global Holdings Ltd (9985 HK) at HK$17. Add UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH US) at US$560. Cut loss on UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH US) at US$530.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"943\" height=\"341\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-20.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-65850\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-20.png 943w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-20-300x108.png 300w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/word-image-65828-20-768x278.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 943px) 100vw, 943px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a id=\"post-62978-_fginbsn8cd1z\"><\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-uagb-image alignleft uagb-block-971ecb1b wp-block-uagb-image--layout-default wp-block-uagb-image--effect-static wp-block-uagb-image--align-left\"><figure class=\"wp-block-uagb-image__figure\"><a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/KGISGWA\" target=\"\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Get-more-from-KGI-on-WhatsApp.png ,https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Get-more-from-KGI-on-WhatsApp.png 780w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Get-more-from-KGI-on-WhatsApp.png 360w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 480px) 150px\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Get-more-from-KGI-on-WhatsApp.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"uag-image-59753\" width=\"637\" height=\"174\" title=\"Get more from KGI on WhatsApp.\" loading=\"lazy\" role=\"img\"\/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a id=\"post-56747-_fginbsn8cd1z\"><\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/kgisg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"637\" height=\"135\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/word-image-69.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15031\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/word-image-69.png 637w, https:\/\/www.kgieworld.sg\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/word-image-69-300x64.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 637px) 100vw, 637px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sector Performance | Hong Kong Trading Ideas |United States Trading Ideas | Singapore Trading Ideas| Trading Dashboard United States ^ Back To Top \u00a0 Geo Energy Resources Ltd (GERL SP): Resilient performance amid coal market volatility (Source: Bloomberg) Sembcorp Industries Ltd (SCI SP): Risk off and rate cut expectations (Source: Bloomberg) American Water Works Co [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":38071,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-65828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kgi-daily-trading-ideas"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.8 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Sector Performance | Hong Kong Trading Ideas |United States Trading Ideas | Singapore Trading Ideas| Trading Dashboard United States ^ Back To Top Geo Energy Resources Ltd (GERL SP): Resilient performance amid coal market volatility BUY Entry \u2013 0.330 Target\u2013 0.360 Stop Loss \u2013 0.315 Geo Energy Resources Limited is an integrated coal mining\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"author\" 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