Technical Analysis: 3 July 2026

General Mills, Inc. (GIS) 

• 4Q26 Revenue: $4.61B, +1.1% YoY, beat estimates by $10M 

• 4Q26 GAAP EPS: $0.95, beat estimates by $0.15 

• FY27 Guidance: FY27 adjusted EPS guidance is $3.00 to $3.20. Organic net sales are expected to range from down 1.5% to up 0.5%. The company also outlined a multi-year cost program targeting $3B of savings by 2030, including about $750M in FY27. 

• Dividend/Share buyback: Declared a quarterly dividend of $0.61 per share, payable August 3, 2026 to shareholders of record July 10, 2026. 

• Comment: This was a better-than-feared quarter. Adjusted EPS beat clearly, revenue edged higher, and adjusted gross margin expanded 150 bps to 34.2%, helped by better mix, pricing discipline, and a less severe decline in North America Retail than the company had been facing earlier. Management also appears to be shifting the recovery playbook away from price-led growth toward promotions, innovation, and cost savings. The main issue is that the underlying growth outlook remains slow. FY27 guidance still implies flat to slightly negative organic sales at the midpoint, and management continues to describe the consumer backdrop as pressured. The stock rose roughly 6% to 9% after the release, which indicates expectations had become quite low going into the print. The principal variables to monitor are whether volume improvement can continue without materially hurting margin, whether pet food and health-oriented innovation can offset softer legacy categories, and whether the cost-savings plan translates into sustained EPS support rather than only a temporary cushion. 1Q27 recommended trading range: $30 to $45. Neutral Outlook. 

General Mills, Inc.（GIS) 

• 26财年第四季度营收：46.1亿美元，同比增长1.1%，小幅超出预期1000万美元 

• 26财年第四季度公认会计准则每股收益：0.95美元，显著超出预期0.15美元 

• 27财年全年指引：调整后EPS为3.00–3.20美元；有机净销售额预计下降1.5%至增长0.5%（中值略为负） 

• 成本优化计划：启动多年期降本项目，目标到2030年实现30亿美元节省，其中27财年贡献约7.5亿美元 

• 股息：宣布季度股息每股0.61美元，将于2026年8月3日支付 

• 短评：本季度表现好于市场悲观预期。尽管增长微弱，但调整后毛利率大幅提升150个基点至34.2%，受益于产品组合优化、定价纪律以及北美零售业务下滑幅度收窄。公司战略正从“依赖提价”转向“促销激活+产品创新+成本节约”的组合拳，试图在稳住份额的同时改善消费体验。宠物食品及健康导向新品成为亮点，部分抵消传统品类疲软。然而，基本面增长依然乏力：FY27有机销售指引中值接近零增长，管理层仍强调消费者支出承压，尤其低收入群体对食品通胀敏感。盈利支撑主要来自成本削减而非内生扩张，可持续性有待验证。财报后股价上涨6%–9%，反映此前预期已极度低迷，任何边际改善均被积极定价。后续关键变量包括：（1）销量回升是否以牺牲利润为代价；（2）高增长子板块（如Blue Buffalo宠物食品、高蛋白/植物基产品）能否持续拉动整体动能；（3）30亿美元降本计划能否高效落地，并转化为长期EPS支撑，而非仅短期缓冲。在消费疲软环境中，GIS展现韧性但缺乏爆发力。27财年第一季度建议交易区间：30美元至45美元。中性前。