KGI Research Singapore

Singapore's leading broker offering Futures, FX, Equities and Wealth Management.

Technical Analysis – 23 April 2025

United States | Singapore | Hong Kong | Earnings

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA US)

  • Shares closed above the 5dEMA with rising volume.
  • MACD is positive, RSI is constructive.
  • Long – Entry 115, Target 127, Stop 109
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NetEase Inc (NTES US)

  • Shares closed above the 50dEMA with a jump in volume. The 5dEMA crossed the 50dEMA.
  • MACD is positive, RSI is constructive.
  • Long – Entry 101.6, Target 110.0, Stop 97.4

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City Development Ltd. (CDL SP)

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  • Shares closed higher above the 20dEMA. 5dEMA is about to cross the 20dEMA.
  • MACD is positive, RSI is constructive.
  • Buy – Entry 4.80, Target 5.00, Stop 4.70
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CapitaLand Investment Ltd. (CLI SP)

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  • Shares closed higher above the 50dEMA. 5dEMA just crossed the 20dEMA and the 20dEMA is about to cross the 50dEMA.
  • MACD just turned positive, RSI is constructive.
  • Buy – Entry 2.60 Target 2.80, Stop 2.50

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Zhejiang Expressway Co Ltd (576 HK)

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  • Shares closed at a 6-month high above the 5dEMA with rising volume.
  • RSI is constructive and MACD is positive.
  • Long Entry 6.68, Target 7.22, Stop 6.41




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Hainan Meilan International Airport Co Ltd (357 HK)
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  • Shares closed at a 52-week high above the 5dEMA with rising volume.
  • Both RSI and MACD are constructive.
  • Long – Entry 10.1, Target 10.9, Stop 9.7


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GE Aerospace (GE)

  • 1Q25 Adjusted Revenue: $9.0B, +11% YoY, miss estimates by $50M
  • 1Q25 Non-GAAP EPS: $1.49, beat estimates by $0.22
  • FY25 Guidance: Maintains guidance of revenue expected in LDD vs growth of 12.30% consensus. Adj EPS of $5.10-$5.45 vs $5.42 consensus. Operating profit of $7.8-$8.2B. Revenue of commercial engines and services growth in the mid-teens, defense and propulsion technologies in the mid- to high-single digit range and corporate costs to remain less than $1B.
  • Comment: GE Aerospace delivered a strong Q1, reporting adjusted earnings per share of US$1.49, beating estimates of US$1.27, and 11% revenue growth to US$9bn. The company reaffirmed its full-year earnings forecast of US$5.10 to US$5.45 per share, despite potentially facing over US$500mn in tariff-related costs due to President Trump’s trade policies. Its CEO highlighted efforts to manage tariff pressure through price increases, cost controls, tariff surcharges, and leveraging foreign trade zones and duty drawback programs. However, he acknowledged potential risks including slower flight departures in North America and reduced spare parts shipments to China. GE Aerospace continues to benefit from its dominant position in the commercial engine market, with more than 70% of revenue coming from high-margin parts and services, and a backlog of US$170bn supporting long-term stability. We anticipate GE Aerospace to continue to face near-term macro and trade headwinds due to persistent tariffs and softer demand from China may challenge parts delivery. However, its resilient aftermarket business, strategic cost controls, and diversified customer base alongside its order backlog, position it well for continued growth in 2025. 2Q25 recommended trading range: $180 to $200. Positive Outlook.

GE航天航空(GE)

  • 25年第一季度调整后营收: 90亿美元,同比增长11%,低于预期5,000万美元
  • 25年第一季度Non-GAAP每股收益:1.49美元,超出预期0.22美元
  • 25财年指引: 维持营收指引,预计低两位数增长,而市场普遍预期为增长12.30%。调整后每股收益指引为5.10美元至5.45美元,而市场普遍预期为5.42美元。营业利润指引为78亿至82亿美元。预计商用发动机和服务营收增长为百分之十几的中段,国防和推进技术营收增长为中到高个位数,公司成本将保持在10亿美元以下。
  • 简评: GE航空航天公布了强劲的第一季度业绩,调整后每股收益为1.49美元,超出预期的1.27美元,营收增长11%至90亿美元。尽管由于特朗普总统的贸易政策,可能面临超过5亿美元的关税相关成本,但该公司重申了其全年每股收益预期为5.10美元至5.45美元。其首席执行官强调,公司正通过提价、成本控制、关税附加费以及利用对外贸易区和退税计划等措施来管理关税压力。然而,他也承认潜在的风险,包括北美航班起降速度放缓以及对中国的零部件发货量减少。GE航空航天继续受益于其在商用发动机市场的领先地位,超过70%的营收来自高利润的零部件和服务,积压订单达1700亿美元,为长期稳定提供了支撑。我们预计GE航空航天将继续面临短期宏观和贸易不利因素,持续的关税以及来自中国需求的疲软可能会对零部件交付构成挑战。然而,其具有韧性的售后市场业务、战略性成本控制、多元化的客户基础以及其订单积压,使其在2025年有望继续增长。25年第二季度建议交易区间:180美元至200美元。积极前景。

Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT)

  • 1Q25 Revenue: $17.96B, +4.4% YoY, beat estimates by $160M
  • 1Q25 GAAP EPS: $7.28, beat estimates by $0.93
  • FY25 Guidance: Maintain sales outlook to be between $73.75-$74.75B, diluted EPS of $27.0-$27.3 and operating profit of $8.1-$8.2B.
  • Comment: Lockheed Martin reported strong first quarter results, with earnings per share of US$7.28, beating analysts’ estimates of US$6.34. Total revenue rose 4.4% YoY to US$17.96bn, beat estimates by US$160mn, driven by broad-based growth across most segments, especially in aerospace, where F-35 fighter jet sales increased 3.1%. Net income climbed to US$1.71bn, up from US$1.55bn a year ago. The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance of sales between US$73.75bn to US$74.75bn and diluted EPS of US$27-US$27.3, buoyed by sustained demand for missile systems and aircraft, amid heightened geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East. While the F-35 program faces delays in technology upgrades, demand remains strong. However, trade tensions could pose risks, with Canada reviewing a C$19 billion F-35 deal due to U.S. tariffs, highlighting the potential diplomatic fallout from trade policy under President Trump. Lockheed Martin will continue to face near-term headwinds from trade-related uncertainties, however, strong global demand for advanced defense systems, particularly as conflicts persist and allied defense budgets expand, could further boost its international sales and expand its growing backlog. 2Q25 recommended trading range: $440 to $480. Neutral Outlook.

洛克希德马丁(LMT)

  • 25年第一季度营收:179.6亿美元,同比增长4.4%,超出预期1.6亿美元
  • 25年第一季度GAAP每股收益:7.28美元,超出预期0.93美元
  • 25财年指引: 维持销售额指引在737.5亿至747.5亿美元之间,摊薄后每股收益为27.0美元至27.3美元,营业利润为81亿至82亿美元。
  • 简评: 洛克希德·马丁公司公布了强劲的第一季度业绩,每股收益为7.28美元,超出分析师预期的6.34美元。总营收同比增长4.4%至179.6亿美元,超出预期1.6亿美元,这得益于大多数部门的广泛增长,尤其是在航空航天领域,其中F-35战斗机的销售额增长了3.1%。净利润增至17.1亿美元,高于去年同期的15.5亿美元。该公司重申了其全年销售额在737.5亿至747.5亿美元之间以及摊薄后每股收益在27美元至27.3美元之间的指引,这得益于在乌克兰和中东地缘政治紧张局势加剧的情况下,对导弹系统和飞机的持续需求。尽管F-35项目在技术升级方面面临延误,但需求依然强劲。然而,贸易紧张局势可能构成风险,加拿大正在审查一项价值190亿加元的F-35战斗机交易,原因是美国的关税,这凸显了特朗普总统贸易政策可能造成的潜在外交影响。洛克希德·马丁公司将继续面临与贸易相关的不确定性带来的短期不利因素,然而,全球对先进防御系统的强劲需求,尤其是在冲突持续和盟国国防预算增加的情况下,可能会进一步推动其国际销售并扩大其不断增长的积压订单。25年第二季度建议交易区间:440美元至480美元。中性前景。

RTX Corp (RTX)

  • 1Q25 Revenue: $20.3B, +5.2% YoY, beat estimates by $500M
  • 1Q25 Non-GAAP EPS: $1.47, beat estimates by $0.10
  • FY25 Guidance: Reaffirms full-year outlook Adjusted sales of $83.0-$84.0B, including 4% to 6% organic growth, adjusted EPS of $6.00 – $6.15 and free cash flow of $7.0-$7.5B. (Outlook does not incorporate the impact of the recently enacted incremental U.S. and non-U.S. tariffs)
  • Comment: RTX Corporation delivered better-than-expected Q1 results, posting adjusted EPS of US$1.47 and revenue of US$20.31bn. Growth was driven by its commercial aerospace units, Collins Aerospace revenue rose 8%, and Pratt & Whitney posted a 14% increase amid sustained demand for aircraft maintenance and parts. However, its Raytheon defense segment saw a 5% YoY decline, due largely to a divestiture of its cybersecurity and services business. Despite strong operational performance, RTX warned of a potential US$850mn hit to 2025 profits from escalating tariffs under Trump’s proposed trade policies. These estimates assume no changes in customer behaviour and continued high tariffs on imports from China, Canada, Mexico, and others. Pratt & Whitney continues to face pressure due to ongoing inspections and groundings linked to flaws in its Geared Turbofan engines. Looking ahead, potential regulatory shifts, especially on military export policies and trade tariffs, could significantly influence margins and international competitiveness of RTX. Furthermore, supply chain issues and engine inspection challenges may continue to weigh on its aerospace divisions profitability. 2Q25 recommended trading range: $110 to $130. Negative Outlook.

雷神科技 (RTX)

  • 25年第一季度营收:203亿美元,同比增长5.2%,超出预期5亿美元
  • 25年第一季度Non-GAAP每股收益:1.47美元,超出预期0.10美元
  • 25财年指引: 重申全年展望,调整后销售额为830亿至840亿美元(包括4%至6%的内生增长),调整后每股收益为6.00美元至6.15美元,自由现金流为70亿至75亿美元。(该展望未包含近期美国和非美国新增关税的影响)
  • 简评: RTX公司公布了超预期的第一季度业绩,调整后每股收益为1.47美元,营收为203.1亿美元。增长主要由其商业航空部门推动,柯林斯宇航营收增长8%,普惠公司在飞机维护和零部件需求持续增长的推动下营收增长14%。然而,其雷神防务部门营收同比下降5%,这主要是由于其网络安全和服务业务的剥离。尽管运营表现强劲,但RTX警告称,特朗普拟议的贸易政策下不断升级的关税可能会使其2025年的利润减少8.5亿美元。这些估计假设客户行为没有变化,并且对来自中国、加拿大、墨西哥和其他国家的进口产品继续征收高额关税。普惠公司由于与其齿轮传动涡扇发动机缺陷相关的持续检查和停飞而继续面临压力。展望未来,潜在的监管变化,特别是军事出口政策和贸易关税方面的变化,可能会显著影响RTX的利润率和国际竞争力。此外,供应链问题和发动机检查挑战可能会继续对该公司航空航天部门的盈利能力构成压力。25年第二季度建议交易区间:110美元至130美元。负面前景。

Tesla Inc (TSLA)

  • 1Q25 Revenue: $19.34B, -9.2% YoY, miss estimates by $2.07B
  • 1Q25 Non-GAAP EPS: $0.27, miss estimates by $0.15
  • FY25 Guidance: No guidance provided. Plan to revisit FY25 guidance in its Q2 update.
  • Comment: Tesla’s Q1 earnings showed continued pressure on its core business, with auto revenue down 20%, net profit plunging 71%, and 13% fewer deliveries YoY. Revenue was US$19.34bn , well below analyst expectations of US$21.11bn. Automotive gross margin dropped to 12.5%, excluding regulatory credits. Its CEO Elon Musk said he will scale back involvement in federal government work (DOGE) to focus more on Tesla and other ventures, lifting investor sentiment. Musk’s reduced time spent on external political efforts has been seen as a net positive after concerns over neglecting Tesla operations. Tesla reaffirmed its affordable EV launch for H1 2025, likely a pared-down Model Y, and confirmed its robotaxi launch in Austin remains on track for June. However, the company flagged ongoing risks from tariffs, political instability, and supply chain disruptions, particularly between the U.S. and China, which have already led to suspended orders for the Model S and X in China. Despite macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds, Musk insists underlying consumer demand remains intact, but growth projections will be reassessed in the second quarter amid policy uncertainties. Looking ahead, we anticipate Tesla to face margin pressures, sluggish deliveries, and tariff-related setbacks, especially in China. Near-term performance will continue to be impacted by global trade volatility and slowing EV demand, but successful execution of new lower-cost vehicle rollouts and advancements in autonomous driving could benefit Tesla in the second half. 2Q25 recommended trading range: $220 to $260. Negative Outlook.

特斯拉 (TSLA)

  • 25年第一季度营收:193.4亿美元,同比下降9.2%,低于预期20.7亿美元
  • 25年第一季度Non-GAAP每股收益:0.27美元,低于预期0.15美元
  • 25财年指引:未提供指引。计划在第二季度更新中重新审视25财年指引。
  • 简评: 特斯拉第一季度的财报显示其核心业务持续承压,汽车业务收入下降20%,净利润暴跌71%,交付量同比减少13%。营收为193.4亿美元,远低于分析师预期的211.1亿美元。不包括监管信贷,汽车毛利率降至12.5%。其首席执行官埃隆·马斯克表示,他将减少参与联邦政府工作(DOGE),以更多地专注于特斯拉和其他事业,这提振了投资者情绪。此前,人们担心马斯克忽视特斯拉的运营,而他减少在外部政治事务上的时间被视为一个积极因素。特斯拉重申将于2025年上半年推出平价电动汽车,很可能是一款简化版的Model Y,并确认其在奥斯汀的Robotaxi(自动驾驶出租车)将于6月按计划推出。然而,该公司指出,关税、政治不稳定和供应链中断(尤其是在美国和中国之间)带来的持续风险,已经导致在中国暂停了Model S和X的订单。尽管面临宏观经济和地缘政治的不利因素,马斯克坚称潜在的消费者需求依然强劲,但增长预测将在第二季度根据政策不确定性进行重新评估。展望未来,我们预计特斯拉将面临利润率压力、交付量放缓以及与关税相关的挫折,尤其是在中国。短期业绩将继续受到全球贸易波动和电动汽车需求放缓的影响,但成功推出新的低成本车型以及在自动驾驶方面的进展可能会在下半年利好特斯拉。25年第二季度建议交易区间:220美元至260美元。负面前景。

Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG)

  • 1Q25 Revenue: $2.25B, +19.0% YoY, beat estimates by $60M
  • 1Q25 Non-GAAP EPS: $1.81, beat estimates by $0.08
  • FY25 Guidance: Expect worldwide da Vinci procedure growth of approximately 15% to 17% in 2025, compared to 17% in 2024. Non-GAAP gross profit margin to be within a range of 65% and 66.5% of revenue in 2025, compared to 69.1% in 2024. This range includes an estimated impact from tariffs of 1.7% of revenue, plus or minus 30 basis points. Non-GAAP operating expense growth of 10% to 14% in 2025, compared to 10% in 2024.
  • Comment: Intuitive Surgical reported strong Q1 results, beating analyst expectations with adjusted earnings of US$1.81 per share and revenue of US$2.25bn. However, the company warned that escalating U.S. tariffs, particularly those affecting its operations in China and Mexico, will increasingly pressure its margins and competitiveness throughout the rest of 2025 and into 2026. The company lowered its projected 2025 adjusted gross profit margin to 65%-66.5%, down from 69.1% last year, citing a 1.7% revenue impact from tariffs. Intuitive is considering operational adjustments but does not expect meaningful benefits in the near term. It anticipates worldwide da Vinci procedure growth of approximately 15% to 17% in 2025, compared to 17% in 2024. Looking ahead, external cost pressures may continue to weigh on margins and competitive positioning, however, strategic adjustments to its supply chain and operational footprint could help mitigate tariff impacts and preserve Intuitive Surgical’s profitability in 2025. 2Q25 recommended trading range: $450 to $490. Neutral Outlook.

直觉外科(ISRG)

  • 25年第一季度营收:22.5亿美元,同比增长19.0%,超出预期6,000万美元
  • 25年第一季度Non-GAAP每股收益:1.81美元,超出预期0.08美元
  • 25财年指引:预计2025年全球达芬奇手术量增长约15%至17%,而2024年为17%。预计2025年Non-GAAP毛利率占营收的65%至66.5%,而2024年为69.1%。该区间包括预计关税对营收的1.7%的影响(正负0.3个百分点)。预计2025年Non-GAAP运营费用增长10%至14%,而2024年为10%。
  • 简评: 直觉外科公布了强劲的第一季度业绩,调整后每股收益为1.81美元,营收为22.5亿美元,均超出分析师预期。然而,该公司警告称,美国不断升级的关税,特别是影响其在中国和墨西哥业务的关税,将在2025年剩余时间和2026年对其利润率和竞争力构成越来越大的压力。该公司将其2025年调整后毛利率预期从去年的69.1%下调至65%-66.5%,理由是关税对营收造成了1.7%的影响。Intuitive正在考虑运营调整,但预计短期内不会有显著效益。该公司预计2025年全球达芬奇手术量增长约为15%至17%,低于2024年的17%。展望未来,外部成本压力可能会继续对利润率和竞争地位构成压力,然而,对其供应链和运营布局的战略调整可能有助于缓解关税影响,并在2025年保持Intuitive Surgical的盈利能力。25年第二季度建议交易区间:450美元至490美元。中性前景。

SAP SE (SAP)

  • 1Q25 Revenue: €9.01B, +12.1% YoY
  • 1Q25 Non-GAAP EPS: €1.44
  • FY25 Guidance: Expect €21.6-21.9B cloud revenue at constant currencies, €33.1-33.6B cloud and software revenue at constant currencies, €10.3-10.6B non-IFRS operating profit at constant currencies and approximately €8.0B free cash flow at actual currencies with an effective tax rate (non-IFRS) of approximately 32%.
  • Comment: SAP reported strong Q1 results, with adjusted operating profit rising to €2.5bn, above analysts’ expectations of €2.22bn and significantly higher than the €1.53bn posted a year earlier. The performance was driven by continued growth in its cloud business, supported by increased demand for AI-powered solutions. The company reaffirmed its full-year cloud revenue guidance of €21.6bn to €21.9bn and is targeting 2025 operating profit between €10.3bn and €10.6bn on a constant currency basis. Despite broader economic weakness in Germany, SAP remains resilient, supported by its global footprint and cloud transition strategy. Amid macroeconomic uncertainty, SAP is well-positioned to sustain growth through 2025, as it accelerates AI integration across its cloud portfolio and advances restructuring efforts to enhance operational efficiency and long-term scalability. 2Q25 recommended trading range: $250 to $280. Positive Outlook.

SAP SE (SAP)

  • 25年第一季度营收:90.1亿欧元,同比增长12.1%
  • 25年第一季度Non-GAAP每股收益:1.44欧元
  • 25财年指引:预计云业务收入(按固定汇率计算):216亿至219亿欧元, 预计云业务和软件业务收入(按固定汇率计算):331亿至336亿欧元, 预计Non-IFRS营业利润(按固定汇率计算):103亿至106亿欧元, 预计自由现金流(按实际汇率计算):约80亿欧元, 预计有效税率(Non-IFRS):约32%
  • 简评: SAP公布了强劲的第一季度业绩,调整后营业利润增长至25亿欧元,高于分析师预期的22.2亿欧元,并显著高于去年同期的15.3亿欧元。业绩增长主要得益于其云业务的持续增长,以及对人工智能驱动解决方案需求的增加。公司重申了其全年云业务收入指引为216亿至219亿欧元,并预计2025年的营业利润(按固定汇率计算)将在103亿至106亿欧元之间。尽管德国经济出现普遍疲软,但在其全球布局和云转型战略的支持下,SAP依然展现出韧性。在宏观经济不确定性的大背景下,随着SAP加速在其云产品组合中整合人工智能,并推进重组工作以提高运营效率和长期可扩展性,该公司有望在2025年保持增长势头。25年第二季度建议交易区间:250美元至280美元。积极前景。